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- Billion-Dollar Milk, $5B SKIMS & YETI’s Wild Multiple
Billion-Dollar Milk, $5B SKIMS & YETI’s Wild Multiple
Fairlife’s rise, SKIMS’ next chapter, and why Wildgrain cracked the subscription code.
Fairlife: The Billion-Dollar Milk That Broke a Declining Category
U.S. milk consumption has been falling every decade since the 1940s. Yet somehow, Fairlife, a brand that didn’t exist 15 years ago, is now doing $1B+ in retail sales and has become one of Coca-Cola’s fastest-growing billion-dollar brands.
The founders? Mike and Sue McCloskey, veterinarians who believed milk shouldn’t be a commodity. Their thesis was simple but powerful:
➡️ Ultra-filtered milk →
more protein (+50%),
more calcium (+30%),
less sugar (–50%),
lactose-free, and longer shelf life.
Fairlife began in 2012 as a joint venture between Select Milk Producers and Coca-Cola. Select brought the milk + tech. Coke brought the marketing + one of the most powerful U.S. distribution engines.
By 2020, Coke bought the entire business reportedly paying ~$1B for the majority and multiples more through earnouts.
But the rise wasn’t perfect.
A 2019 calf-abuse scandal at a supplier created a massive reputational hit, lawsuits, and boycotts. Fairlife responded with third-party audits, new welfare protocols, and settlements.
Today the question is:
Can Fairlife stay dominant as protein RTDs, high-protein yogurts, and functional dairy alternatives flood shelves?
SKIMS Raises $225M at $5B. Is It the Next Lululemon?
SKIMS is no longer a DTC shapewear brand, it’s becoming a category-spanning lifestyle giant.
The numbers over time:
2019: ~$5M raise → $16M valuation
2021: $150M → $1.6B
2022: $240M → $3.2B
2023: $270M → $4B
2025: $225M → $5B, led by Goldman Sachs
And now the kicker:
SKIMS is projecting $1B+ in 2025 revenue.
The bull case:
Category depth across shapewear, underwear, apparel, activewear, menswear
High repeat purchase + strong brand affinity
Shift into physical retail mirrors the global scaling strategy of Lululemon
Strong operational leadership from Jens Grede
Celebrity engine that actually converts
Lululemon today: $10B revenue / $20B market cap
Investors are asking:
Could SKIMS surpass Lululemon within a decade if it nails international expansion and retail?
YETI Buys Helimix for $38M, A Wild 4–8× Revenue Outcome
This is the dream outcome for a subscale consumer brand.
Helimix, a ball-free shaker bottle, was doing:
➡️ ~$5–$10M in revenue
➡️ A single hero SKU
➡️ No multi-channel empire
➡️ No 9-figure run-rate
Yet YETI just bought its design, tooling, and IP for $38M in cash, a 4–8× revenue multiple in a market where DTC brands typically trade at 3–4× EBITDA.
Why?
Because for a $2.8B company like YETI, Helimix isn’t a brand, it’s a head start:
Immediate entry into wellness and drinkware adjacency
Patented design that strengthens the ecosystem
Proven cultural traction around shaker bottles and fitness influencers
For Helimix, it’s a life-changing exit.
For YETI, it’s strategic acceleration.
🎙 Podcast Highlight: How Wildgrain Built a Subscription Food Business That Actually Works
This week, I sat down with Ismail Salhi, Co-Founder of Wildgrain, the first bake-from-frozen subscription bakery with sourdough breads, pastries, and fresh pastas shipped nationwide.
Why Wildgrain succeeded where others struggled:
🍞 Product as moat
Proprietary frozen dough + artisanal SKUs few can replicate.
📦 Cold-chain discipline
They engineered margin from the start instead of using growth to paper over unit economics.
🔁 Strong retention
Because the product is genuinely exceptional.
📉 SKU focus
Fewer SKUs → better ops → lower costs → stronger LTV.
My favorite moment:
Ismail’s explanation of why “exceptional product first” was the only viable strategy, and how that single choice drove category-leading retention.
🎧 Watch on YouTube, listen on Spotify.
That’s it for this week.
If you liked this issue, forward to a friend who obsesses over brand strategy, capital flows, or exit timing.
In the Money – following the flow of capital in consumer
P.S. We love talking to brands interested in exiting in the next 3-18 months. If you know of any brands interested in exiting, or any firms trying to help port cos manage turnarounds, we'd love to share a POV.
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